Essay Review of “Murder on the Orient Express – The Mystery of Underperformance” Once in a while I read something which crystalizes for me – with data and arguments better than I could hope to make – what I already suspected but hadn’t yet put into words. Charles D. Ellis writes in Financial Analysis Journal[1]

The “Black Swan,” of Nicholas Nassim Taleb’s title, describes an event that occurs completely outside expectations, has an enormous impact on future developments, and can be explained only in hindsight as predictable. Further, Taleb argues that despite the fact that we are blind to their imminent arrival ahead of time, Black Swans drive the world

I never intend Bankers Anonymous as a “How to invest” site,[1] but B$A readers may safely approach The Intelligent Investor as a “How Not to Invest,” a more profitable set of rules in the long run, in my opinion.  I prefer The Intelligent Investor to any modern investment book I’ve ever read, and I recommend it as